Amazon Jungle, Brazil/Nathalia Segato/unsplash

Up to one fifth of the Amazon rainforest is emitting more CO2 than it absorbs, new research suggests.


Results from a decade-long study of greenhouse gases over the Amazon basin appear to show around 20% of the total area has become a net source of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.


One of the main causes is deforestation.


While trees are growing they absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere; dead trees release it again.


Millions of trees have been lost to logging and fires in recent years.


The results of the study, which have not yet been published, have implications for the effort to combat climate change.


They suggest that the Amazon rainforest - a vital carbon store, or "sink", that slows the pace of global warming - may be turning into a carbon source faster than previously thought.


Every two weeks for the past 10 years, a team of scientists led by Prof Luciana Gatti, a researcher at Brazil's National Institute for Space Research (INPE), has been measuring greenhouse gases by flying aircraft fitted with sensors over different parts of the Amazon basin.


What the group found was startling: while most of the rainforest still retains its ability to absorb large quantities of carbon dioxide - especially in wetter years - one portion of the forest, which is especially heavily deforested, appears to have lost that capacity.


Gatti's research suggests this south-eastern part of the forest, about 20% of the total area, has become a carbon source.


"Each year is worse," she told Newsnight.

“一年比一年糟糕,” 加蒂告诉夜间新闻栏目。

"We observed that this area in the south-east is an important source of carbon. And it doesn't matter whether it is a wet year or a dry year. 2017-18 was a wet year, but it didn't make any difference."


A forest can become a source of carbon rather than a store, or sink, when trees die and emit carbon into the atmosphere.


Areas of deforestation also contribute to the Amazon's inability to absorb carbon.


Carlos Nobre, who co-authored Prof Gatti's study, called the observation "very worrying" because "it could be showing the beginnings of a major tipping point".


tipping point:n.临界点;引爆点


KAL VISUALS/unsplash

He believes the new findings suggest that in the next 30 years, more than half of the Amazon could transform from rainforest into savanna.




For decades, scientists have warned of an "Amazon tipping-point": the point at which the forest loses its ability to renew itself and begins to emit more carbon than it absorbs.


"[The Amazon] used to be, in the 1980s and 90s, a very strong carbon sink, perhaps extracting two billion tonnes of carbon dioxide a year from the atmosphere," says Prof Nobre, who is also a researcher at the University of Sao Paulo's Institute for Advanced Studies and Brazil's leading expert on the Amazon.


"Today, that strength is reduced perhaps to 1-1.2bn tonnes of carbon dioxide a year."


Opinions on when this tipping point could occur differs among scientists.


"Some people think that it won't be until three-degrees warming - so towards the end of the century, whereas other people think that we could get [it with] deforestation up above 20% or so and that might happen in the next decade or two. So it's really, really uncertain," explained Simon Lewis, professor of global change science at UCL.





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